ECON 102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 9: Alan Greenspan, Unemployment, Macroeconomics

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26 Oct 2020
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The easiest definition of full employment is a situation in which cyclical unemployment is zero. Because of frictional and structural unemployment, however, we would not expect the official measured unemployment rate to be zero even when economists would claim the economy is at full employment. It is difficult to answer this question, since we have no unambiguous way of classifying unemployed people into the frictional, structural, and cyclical categories. The lowest estimates i have seen are around 3 percent. For many years, most economists believed, however, that the economy is at full employment when the measured unemployment rate is 5 to 6 percent. These views were challenged by the experience of the late 1990s. The unemployment rate was below 6 percent from 1994 through early 2003 and below 5 percent from 1997 until late 2001, and from mid 2005 until 2008.

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