ECON 102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 26: Unemployment, Output Gap, Potential Output

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9 Dec 2020
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Found a systematic relation between the output gap and cyclical unemployment. Enables: (1) predictions to be made concerning what will happen to unemployment if output deviates from potential output. (2) predictions to be made about how much output is lost, if unemployment rises above natural rate. Change in the unemployment rate = a + b(real output growth) Ratio a/b shows the rate of output growth that would be necessary just to maintain the unemployment rate at its existing level. (this version of okun"s law requires the assumption that the natural rate of unemployment is constant) Unemployment will begin to fall as gdp growth exceeds this threshold level (a/b) First, labour productivity increase = amount of labour required to produce a given level of output decrease. Output will need to grow at least as fast as the labour productivity just to maintain the demand for labour unchanged.

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