Government 1760 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Taiwan Relations Act

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Model&that&predicted&behavior&of&South&China's&rise
§
Trade&expectation
§
Threat&perception
§
Countries*can*either*bandwagon,*balance*or*hedge
§
Which*countries*fall*into*which*category
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Chen&and&Yang:&balancing
Goh:&bandwagoning&then&says&it's&moving&towards&hedging
Shows&that&it&is&hard&to&measure&which&state&is&using&which&
strategy
§
Chen&and&Yang
Tells&what&states&are&doing&and&concludes&states&are&mostly&hedging
§
Goh&Reading
Japan&and&other&countries&aren't&taking&China's&militarization&easily&
and&are&equipping&themselves&as&well
§
Hughes&Reading
Vietnam&and&the&Philippines&are&not&in&a&position&to&form&any&
military&position
§
Makes&sense&that&they&would&hedge&bets&with&US&and&have&assets&
there
§
McDevitt&and&Lea
Readings&from&2/22
Soft:&more&diplomatic&coalitions&or&upgrading&of&existing&
Hard:
Soft&balancing&vs.&hard&balancing
For&midterm&essay:&maybe&talk&about&the&oddity&that&two&Communist&powers&are&
going&against&each&other?
What&could&explain&this?:&
They&want&to&be&the&model&of&power&(ideological)
Security&or&territorial&disputes:&just&because&two&powers&share&an&ideology,&doesn't&
mean&they&won't&get&in&territorial& conflicts
Balance&go&up&against&top&dog
Hedge&is&a&little& of&both
Chen&and&Yang&bandwagon&and&team&up&with&top&dog
China&rising,&how&do&other&states&respond?
Shanghai&Communique:&Nixon&went&to&Shanghai&and&formalized&relations
Talked&about&how&the&US&would&view&Taiwan&and&that&the&US&accepts&a&one&
China&policy
This&was&a&result&of&the&Sino-Soviet&split
Not&normalization
The*US*and*China*usually*recognize*that*there*is*a*one*China*policy,*however*
differ*in*the*agreement*of*what*that*is
Following&C
China&Taiwan
Ends&relations&with&Taiwan&and&establishes&formalized&relation&with&China
Normalization&Agreement
Hand&and&hand&in&normalization
American&Institute&of&Taiwan:&defacto&US&embassy,&does&everything&an&embassy&
would&do&except&not&actually&and&embassy
Taiwan&Relations&Act
China&is&mad&about&arms&sales&and&is&gonna&quantitatively&and&qualitatively&tone&
it&down
Arms&Sales&Communique
Reinforced&that&they&would&use&force&if&
PRC&Anti-secession&law&(2005)&&
3/1/17
Wednesday,& March&1,&2017
11:34&AM
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Document Summary

Model that predicted behavior of south china"s rise. Goh: bandwagoning then says it"s moving towards hedging. Shows that it is hard to measure which state is using which strategy. Tells what states are doing and concludes states are mostly hedging. Japan and other countries aren"t taking china"s militarization easily and are equipping themselves as well. Vietnam and the philippines are not in a position to form any military position. Makes sense that they would hedge bets with us and have assets there. Soft: more diplomatic coalitions or upgrading of existing. For midterm essay: maybe talk about the oddity that two communist powers are. They want to be the model of power (ideological) Security or territorial disputes: just because two powers share an ideology, doesn"t mean they won"t get in territorial conflicts. Chen and yang bandwagon and team up with top dog. Shanghai communique: nixon went to shanghai and formalized relations.

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