Government 1760 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Taiwan Relations Act
Model&that&predicted&behavior&of&South&China's&rise
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Trade&expectation
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Threat&perception
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Countries*can*either*bandwagon,*balance*or*hedge
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Which*countries*fall*into*which*category
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Chen&and&Yang:&balancing
□
Goh:&bandwagoning&then&says&it's&moving&towards&hedging
□
Shows&that&it&is&hard&to&measure&which&state&is&using&which&
strategy
□
Vietnam
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Chen&and&Yang
○
Tells&what&states&are&doing&and&concludes&states&are&mostly&hedging
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Goh&Reading
○
Japan&and&other&countries&aren't&taking&China's&militarization&easily&
and&are&equipping&themselves&as&well
§
Hughes&Reading
○
Vietnam&and&the&Philippines&are¬&in&a&position&to&form&any&
military&position
§
Makes&sense&that&they&would&hedge&bets&with&US&and&have&assets&
there
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McDevitt&and&Lea
○
Readings&from&2/22
•
Soft:&more&diplomatic&coalitions&or&upgrading&of&existing&
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Hard:
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Soft&balancing&vs.&hard&balancing
•
For&midterm&essay:&maybe&talk&about&the&oddity&that&two&Communist&powers&are&
going&against&each&other?
What&could&explain&this?:&
They&want&to&be&the&model&of&power&(ideological)
Security&or&territorial&disputes:&just&because&two&powers&share&an&ideology,&doesn't&
mean&they&won't&get&in&territorial& conflicts
Balance&go&up&against&top&dog
○
Hedge&is&a&little& of&both
○
Chen&and&Yang&bandwagon&and&team&up&with&top&dog•
China&rising,&how&do&other&states&respond?
Shanghai&Communique:&Nixon&went&to&Shanghai&and&formalized&relations•
Talked&about&how&the&US&would&view&Taiwan&and&that&the&US&accepts&a&one&
China&policy
•
This&was&a&result&of&the&Sino-Soviet&split•
Not&normalization•
The*US*and*China*usually*recognize*that*there*is*a*one*China*policy,*however*
differ*in*the*agreement*of*what*that*is
•
Following&C•
China&Taiwan
Ends&relations&with&Taiwan&and&establishes&formalized&relation&with&China•
Normalization&Agreement
Hand&and&hand&in&normalization•
American&Institute&of&Taiwan:&defacto&US&embassy,&does&everything&an&embassy&
would&do&except¬&actually&and&embassy
•
Taiwan&Relations&Act
China&is&mad&about&arms&sales&and&is&gonna&quantitatively&and&qualitatively&tone&
it&down
•
Arms&Sales&Communique
Reinforced&that&they&would&use&force&if&•
PRC&Anti-secession&law&(2005)&&
3/1/17
Wednesday,& March&1,&2017
11:34&AM
Document Summary
Model that predicted behavior of south china"s rise. Goh: bandwagoning then says it"s moving towards hedging. Shows that it is hard to measure which state is using which strategy. Tells what states are doing and concludes states are mostly hedging. Japan and other countries aren"t taking china"s militarization easily and are equipping themselves as well. Vietnam and the philippines are not in a position to form any military position. Makes sense that they would hedge bets with us and have assets there. Soft: more diplomatic coalitions or upgrading of existing. For midterm essay: maybe talk about the oddity that two communist powers are. They want to be the model of power (ideological) Security or territorial disputes: just because two powers share an ideology, doesn"t mean they won"t get in territorial conflicts. Chen and yang bandwagon and team up with top dog. Shanghai communique: nixon went to shanghai and formalized relations.