BIOL 4253 Lecture : Lecture 15

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15 Mar 2019
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Population dynamics (cid:135) changes in population size over time or in space black-capped chickadees. Population dynamics (cid:135) changes in population size over time or in space. W hat c auses f luctuations? (cid:135) century-long debate (cid:135) two schools of thought: driven by climate fluctuations weather dependent, driven by biotic processes fluctuations determined by competition and predation. C limatic control (cid:135) source of mortality & fluctuations: (cid:153) weather fluctuations (cid:135) mortality rate: (cid:153) density independent (cid:153) no negative feedback y e r p n e t a e prey density. Stafford (1971) (cid:135) population decline following bad winters. A ndrewartha and birch (1948) (cid:135) thrip population dynamics (cid:153) crop pests (cid:153) australian roses (cid:135) monitor population for 12 years. A ndrewartha and birch (1948) (cid:135) weather-based model of population change (cid:153) temperature (cid:153) rainfall model predictions (cid:135) model explains 78% of variation in population size! C heck erspot butterflies (cid:135) mclaughlin et al (2002) (cid:135) seasonal rainfall affects population growth.

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