POL-UA 540 Lecture Notes - Lecture 25: New Media, Republican Party (United States), World Economy

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Lecture 25: the future of politics in the middle east. Inequality world-wide had increased, and people"s perceptions of inequality as a problem were increasing. Contagion: 2009 iranian uprising; post-2008 global anti-austerity protests; Obama effect bush or obama admin lead the us to weak international place; us open to change in the middle east. New media facilitated uprisings facebook, twitter, wikileaks (important dump in 2009-2010) Going a little out of favor because it seems like most of the planning was still face-to-face. Strong societies were hardwired for mass mobilization. The more repressive the regime, the fewer options for the protestors (timely reforms co-opted the opposition, eg. morocco) Resources at the disposal of the regimes (gcc, algeria) Institutional: military could eject president and remain an institution. Patrimonial: if leader is overthrown, military is overthrown. Fear of chaos due to history/regional experience of repression, war, refugee crisis (jordan) In other words, watching your neighbors regret their decisions.

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