STAT 100 Lecture Notes - Lecture 9: False Positive Rate, Conjunction Fallacy, Hillary Clinton
Document Summary
Either h clinton or c fuirino is elected. One set of events is absorbed by a larger set of events that is unlikely but doesn"t seem to be. Prevalence: base rate or the rate of occurrence in population at a particular time. False negative: a negative result for someone who has disease or condition. False positive: a positive result for someone who does not have disease of condition. Take a class of 240 students where you"re told 160 will pass or ake a class of 240 students where you"re told. The first cannot happen without the second but the second cannot happen without the first. One set of events is absorbed by a larger set of events. Sensitivity: the probability that a test produces a negative result, given subject does not have disease or condition. Specificity: probability that a test produces a negative result, given subject does not have disease or condition.
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