33:390:310 Lecture Notes - Lecture 13: Standard Deviation, Weighted Arithmetic Mean, Covariance
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Suppose that an investor has estimates of the expected returns on individual securities and the correlations between securities. Obviously, the investor would like a portfolio with a high expected return and a low standard deviation of returns. The expected return of a portfolio is the weighted average of the expected returns on the individual securities: , or, the expected return of a portfolio = w1r1 + w2r2 + + wnrn. For two securities, a and b, the expected return = wara + wbrb. The formula for the variance of a portfolio comprised of two securities, a and b, is: (1) variance(portfolio) = Note that there are three terms on the right-hand side of equation (1). A , the second term involves the variance of stock b the variance of stock a third term involves the covariance between the two stocks.