ECON 102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 28: Nominal Interest Rate, Real Interest Rate, Irving Fisher

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Inflation and nominal interest rates: how useful in understanding interest rates is the fisher effect. In order to address this question we are looking at two forms of inflation and nominal interest rate data. You can see that, over the past half century, the fisher effect has done a good job describing changes in nominal interest rate. Nominal interest rates are usually high when inflation is high, and nominal interest rates are often generally low when inflation is low. Different evidence for the fisher effect comes from observing the country-wide variation. As seen in figure 4-4, the inflation rate of a nation and its nominal interest rate are related. Countries with high inflation tend to also have high nominal interest rates and low-inflation countries tend to have low nominal interest rates: wall street investment companies are well known for the correlation between inflation and interest rates.

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