PSC 321 Lecture Notes - Lecture 14: Hosni Mubarak, Supreme Council Of The Armed Forces, Authoritarianism

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Mass Uprisings Against Authoritarian Rule
Last Week
Explaining authoritarianism in the MENA
“Authoritarianism upgrading”
Other factors:
This Week
Popular protest and mass uprisings against authoritarian rule
Tunisia
Mass uprising: December 2011
President Ben Ali fled: January 2011
Egypt
Mass uprising: January 2011
President Hosni mubarak: Deposed, february 2011
What happens after an authoritarian ruler is deposed
Egypt: 2011 Uprising
January 5, 2011
Mubarak resigns:
February 11, 2011
Distinguishing between:
Why did people participate in mass protests?
Economic grievances (discontent about unemployment, etc.)
Political grievances (discontent about corruption, police brutality)
Are grievances enough?
Why was Mubarak ousted?
Lessons
Uncertainty
Timing / sequence
Post-authoritarian overthrow
Removing a dictator does not always lead to democratization
Questions to Consider
What happens after an authoritarian leader is overthrown?
Democratic transition?
Another authoritarian regime? (egypt)
Civil War? (syria, libya, some degree in yemen)
What explains these different trajectories?
Role of the military
Other actors
Egypt: 2011-Present
February 2011 - May 2012
Mubarak is deposed
Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF)
Protests against SCAF (spring / summer 2011)
May 2012 - July 2013
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