POL 51 Lecture 10: 10 Lecture 5-5
Document Summary
Swain was a black man convicted of a crime. Appealed it on the grounds of no blacks being in the jury. But there were eight in the jury pool. Scotus said: overall % disparity has been small and reflects no studied attempt to include or exclude a specified number of negroes. H1: luck of the draw, n was so small, it was just chance. H2: discrimination against black men in the south in the 1960s. If it"s just chance, then the expected percentage of blacks in the jury would be. But we also expect chance to produce deviations from the expected outcome in any single jury pool. Assume that an outcome is solely determined by chance. Observed outcome = expected outcome + chance error. Chance error = observed outcome - expected outcome. Randomized computer simulation of jury pools (size of jury pool=100, % blacks in county=26: 20, 24, 30, 21, 31, 27, 18, 33, 22, 20.
