POL S 7 Lecture Notes - Lecture 7: Moral Hazard
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Augment the power of member states, deterring challenges. Increase the costs of war, expanding the bargaining range. Create new information asymmetries, leading to new bargaining failures. Bargaining between three states: a and c ally against b. B has an incentive to challenge a because likely outcomes in b"s favor. If a is augmented by c, likely outcome is shifted in a and c"s favor. Under conditions of uncertainty, a and b can have the same potential for bargaining failures as in two-party conflicts. In addition, c has private information about its willingness to come to a"s aid. A and b may have different estimates of c"s reliability. If b believes c is unreliable, will demand (cid:522)too much. (cid:523) If a believes c is reliable, will refuse b"s demand. Germany and italy publicly enter the (cid:518)pact of steel,(cid:519) 1939. Seen as a sign of weakness, because both parties should not have to sign a document.