FIN 4504 Lecture Notes - Lecture 14: Value Investing, Efficient-Market Hypothesis, Only Time

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At the beginning of each month compute returns of each stock over the past 12 months. Rank all stocks by their past 12 month returns. Top 10% of the stocks with the highest past returns are referred to as winners. Bottom 10% of the stick with the lowest past returns are referred to as losers. Buy the winner stocks and short the loser stocks. Hold this long-short portfolio for horizons ranging from 3 to 12 months and compute the average return earned by this portfolio. Winners outperform the losers over the next 6 months to 1 year about 12% annually over the next 6 months. > a zero-cost portfolio which buys winners and sells losers from the past 6 months earns. Form the same portfolios as in momentum. Loser portfolio outperforms the winner portfolio over the next few years. > short-run overreaction (causing momentum) may lead to long term reversals (market.

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