HISTORY 244 Lecture Notes - Lecture 28: Long And Short Scales, Conventional Warfare, Iron Dome
Outline -- The Angel of History's Blessing
I. Intro
●
II. Trends Favoring Israel
A. Inertia
● Temporary provisional arrangements
1. Regional integration
● Into middle east
● Gradual overtime
● Still regarded as aliens by most arabs
● Overtime israel's become less alien and less unwelcomed
● In 1948, no arab state recognized israel
● 1994- jordan recognized israel
● 2002- arab league as a whole offered recognition to israel if they could agree on
peace settlement
● Iran and hezbollah and hamas are only ones that will never recognize
● Israel's strength helps local alliance, w jordan against radical states
● Strong ties w egyptian army- common enemy of hamas
● Saudi arabia and emirates want access to israel technology
● Israel wants to ease its isolation
● Middle east is becoming multipolar
● Israel is just one median actor
● Presence is increasingly present
2. Palestinian Refugees
● Fate
● 70s years since al-nakba
● Only 10-15,000 are still alive
● Since 1948- pal had made historic efforts to try and preserve original identity
● Most have grown more distant from the vanished world of 1948
3. Jewish settlers
● 200,000 jews in eastern jerusalem
● 400,000 in west bank outside eastern j
● Jewish west bank population is growing 3x more rapidly than jews in israel
proper
● Every more complex systems of roads especially near greenline
● Israel is still multiplying
● Only 9% of jews but disappropriate with politics
● Defensive barrier against future attacks
● Large blocks adjacent to green life represent 8% of the west bank
● If there's no agreement, these settlements will continue - area c
● These settlements weakens rather than strengthens israel in the long term
● Source of weakness
● Makes 2 state impossible
● They believe that settlements especially among green line protect the heartland
4. Gaza-West Bank split
● Deepening the split between hamas in gaza and PA in West bank
● Pal have the power to solve this problem all on their own
● At least 7 announced agreements have all failed
● Split between the two has deep roots
● Deep cultural and political
● Gaza has always been much poorer, more religious, politically radical than west
bank
● Natural distance btw the two
● Neither organization, PA or gaza, is eager to yield control of its own zone
● Loss of jobs, prestige, etc
● The longer gaza and the west bank remain divided,
● 3 state solution will destroy the pal national movement
● Could open the way to gazas de facto separation from egypt
● Represent a historic failure to pal national favor
●
B. Economic and Political Dynamism
● Israel has most productive on oil economy in middle east
● Enough natural resource to power for 100 years
● Economic growth rates are highest in industrial worlds
● World leader in high tech industries
● Aviation, medical equipment, medical procedures, info technology, agricultural
technologies, automotives
● Israeli high technology benefits from first class, world class universities
● Deeply rooted
● Israel today has the highest density of startup companies in the world
● Highest number of per capita scientist and technology experts in world
● Research and development, highest expenditure
● Constant brain drain to better paying jobs in europe in america
● 500,000 in america w high paying jobs
● Most ultra orthodox men don't work
Document Summary
Outline -- the angel of history"s blessing: intro. Still regarded as aliens by most arabs. Overtime israel"s become less alien and less unwelcomed. In 1948, no arab state recognized israel. 2002- arab league as a whole offered recognition to israel if they could agree on peace settlement. Iran and hezbollah and hamas are only ones that will never recognize. Israel"s strength helps local alliance, w jordan against radical states. Strong ties w egyptian army- common enemy of hamas. Saudi arabia and emirates want access to israel technology. Presence is increasingly present: palestinian refugees. Since 1948- pal had made historic efforts to try and preserve original identity. Most have grown more distant from the vanished world of 1948: jewish settlers. 400,000 in west bank outside eastern j. Jewish west bank population is growing 3x more rapidly than jews in israel proper. Every more complex systems of roads especially near greenline. Only 9% of jews but disappropriate with politics.
