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Ann would like to buy a house.

It costs $800,000.

Her down payment will be $40,000.

She will take out a mortgage for $760,000.

It will be a 30 year, fully amortizing, FRM, with constant monthly payments and monthly compounding.

The annual interest rate is 4.00%.

She must pay 2.5% in fees at the time of the loan.

Note: the home is bought and the loan is taken in month 0, the first payment is due in month 1.

In the spreadsheet where it says “cash inflow”, “outflow” and “net cash flow” you should only take into account cash flow related to the mortgage.

1. Fill in the spreadsheet for Ann. (It is called an amortization schedule.)

2. Compute Ann’s annualized IRR for the mortgage in the spreadsheet. (Use the net cash flow.)

(2.a) What is the annualized IRR for the mortgage?

(2.b) Is it higher or lower than the mortgage contract rate?

(2.c) Why?

3. Plot Ann’s mortgage balance in one graph. Place the figure here.

4. Plot Ann’s monthly mortgage payment, interest payment and principal payment in one graph. Place the figure here.

She forecasts four possible scenarios for house price appreciation (HPA).

Optimistic Case: 4.5% annual HPA, hence 4.5/12% monthly HPA

Base Case: 2.5% annual HPA, hence 2.5/12% monthly HPA

Pessimistic Case: 0% annual HPA, hence 0/12% monthly HPA

Very Bad Case: -6% annual HPA, hence -6/12% monthly HPA

5. Plot Ann’s home equity every month under each of the four HPA scenarios in one graph. Place the figure here.

6. Assume Ann will make the required monthly payment every month for 30 years.

(6.a) How much home equity will Ann have after 10 years (120 months) of payments under each of the four scenarios?

(6.b) After 30 years?

Scenario :

HPA

Home Equity in 10 years

Home Equity in 30 years

Optimistic

4.50%

Base

2.50%

Pessimistic

0.00%

Very Bad

-6.00%

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Jamar Ferry
Jamar FerryLv2
30 Sep 2019

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