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Since Fall of 2011, the price of oil has shown a sharp increaseagain as continuation steady rise in oil price attributed to theArab Spring (the political uprising in the Middle Eastern and NorthAfrican countries) started in the beginning of 2011. This upwardtrend of oil price has been further triggered by the recent tensionin Iran on its Nuclear proliferation and the threat of blocking theoil export through the Harmuz Strait. Accordingly, many analysts inthe energy field have predicted the likelihood of rise in oil priceup to $5/gallon by coming summer in the US market.

Given the circumstances above about the oil market, draw an AS/ADdiagram, which shows the effect on the US macro-economy of expectedoil price @ $130+ per barrel versus the oil price at $100+ perbarrel (in the beginning of 2012). In your explanation in

http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/


Please see the url link here in addition an older WSJ article onoil price and macroeconomic effect I attached separately ashint.

Dated June 1, 2010:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704269204575271213611411940.html?KEYWORDS=oil+price

Jan 28, 2011:
http://money.cnn.com/2011/01/28/markets/oil_egypt/index.htm

Label your diagram clearly and explain how higher oil prices impacteither AS, AD or both.

Finally, explain why sharp rise in oil prices might not necessarilyhave negative or positive impact on the US equity markets even atthe current trend of volatile oil prices.

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Joshua Stredder
Joshua StredderLv10
28 Sep 2019

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