Question

3. A researcher claimed that less than 20% of adults smoke cigarettes. y selected adults showed that 17% of the respondents smoke. Is this evidence researcher's claim? adults smoke cigarettes. A Gallup survey of 1016 (a) What is the sample proportion, p, for this problem? (b) State the null and alternative hypothesis. Ho: p = H :p Note that you should have written the same numb uld have written the same number in the null and alternative hypotheses. This is the value that the researcher is claiming. The sample proportion should never goth null or alternative hypotheses. Therefore, the num ative hypotheses. Therefore, the number you have in (a) should not be in the null or alternative hypothesis. (c) Calculate the test statistic using the following formula: pg where p is the value you stated in the null hypothesis and g is 1-P. " hypothesis and g is 1-2. (a) now, using either your calculator or the normal distribution table, look up the area that cor- l'esponds to the 2-score you calculated in (c). You don't need to subtract from 1 because the alternative hypothesis has < in it. This value is called the p-value. p-value= The p-value represents the probability of getting a p of .17 or smaller if the null hypothesis is true (p= 20). Therefore, if this probability is small then we would doubt that the null hy- pothesis is true (i.e. if it is not very likely to get p if the true proportion is 20% then this gives us reason to doubt that p = 2). Thus, small p-values support the alternative hypothesis, P-values less than 10 or .05 are generally considered small. (e) Circle the correct answer: i. The p-value was small which gives us evidence that the actual percent of adults who smoke is less than 20%. ii. The p-value was large so we do not have evidence that the actual percent of adults who smoke is less than 20%. The answer your circled in (e) is the conclusion to the hypothesis test. We always state conclusions in context of the problem and we state whether we did or did not have evidence for the alternative hypothesis. In this case, we did have evidence for the alternative hypothesis that the percentage of adult smokers is less than 20%