POL 51 Lecture Notes - Lecture 12: Counterfactual Conditional, Haitian Creole, Causal Inference

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Intervening variable for incyears/incvote: licklider- relationship and reason for causal claim, why difficulty of admission is confounding. 3: strengthening the dyad type/conflict causal claim, what if democracy included in t2 and effect was 0. 6: what would make opinion about iraq war confounding. Unit of analysis, causal hypothesis, iv, dv, evidence. What is the problem with using the previous presidential election year as the control year: what should be the control year for h. w. Home state effects: why did we do this: an example of research from start to finish an illusion of concepts we"ve talked about in pol51. For example: counter factual condition and unit of analysis: working with excel to collect data, store data, and compute new quantities of interest. Another extra credit opportunity: write a research note on home state effects in presidential elections. Smartsite and paper copy in class (3-5 pages double spaced: worth a maximum of 5 points towards final grade.

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