ECON-2006EG Study Guide - Quiz Guide: The Trough, Business Cycle, Longrun

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Growth is never steady and always hard to predict, even for the most developed countries. Economic fluctuations or business cycles are short-run changes in the growth rate of real gdp. Economists also focus on fluctuations of annual growth rate of gdp: period of positive growth in gdp: expansions and booms, periods of negative gdp growth: downturn or contractions or recessions. Recessions are periods (lasting at least two quarters) in which real gdp falls. Economic expansions are the periods between recessions. An economic recession begins at the end of one recession and continues until the start of the next recession (average 4 times as long as a recession) The peak is the high point of real gdp, just before a recession begins. The trough is the low point of real gdp during the recession, which corresponds to the end of the recession. Economic fluctuations have three key properties: co-movement of many aggregate macroeconomic variables.

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