BA 30310 Quiz: Foresight Quiz 3 Part 6
Foresight Quiz #3
• Scenario Development Methods:
o INDUCTIVE Methods:
▪ Aspirational Futures Method (Institute for Alternative Futures):
• When to Use =
o when consensus on preferred future exists
• Includes four scenario archetypes =
o business as usual
o challenge/hard times
o visionary 1
o visionary 2
• Develops scenarios in 3 zones:
o 1. Zone of conventional expectation:
▪ reflects extrapolation of known trends
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