POL SCI 164A Chapter Notes - Chapter 1: Cuban Missile Crisis, Rational Choice Theory, Nonconformist

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PS164A Reading
Groupthink
CH 1 Why so much miscalculations
Janis
- Groups can be as fallible as humans
- Prone to lack of viligence and risk taking
- Focus on this subtle form of defective decision making/ faulty leadership: during
group deliberations, leaders not deliberately try to get the group to tell him what
he wants to hear, but sincerely asks for honest opinions. Subtle constraints
reinforced by the leader prevents member from fully exercising critical powers
and openly expressing doubts when others have reached consensus
Effects of group cohesiveness
- Solidarity
- Mutual liking
- Positive feelings about meeting and carrying out tasks of the group
- Increase ability to retain members and increased participation by members in
activities
- Affected by myths and misconceptions of other members
- Greater power of conformity and acceptance of goals and assignments
- Source of security: reduce anxiety, heighten self esteem
Confomity to group norms
- Deviant: increased communications by other members, after failure
communication decreases, begins to exclude him to restore unity of the group
- More cohesive and more relevant the issue, the greater inclination to
reject a noncomformist
- Norms of group can have positive effect, but can also cause slowdown and
socializing activities that reduce productivity
Conceptions of political decision-making
- 3 conceptual frameworks applied to analysis of the Cuban Missile Crisis
- (1) classical approach: rational actor model/ theory of international
relations
- Determine the ends the political actor is trying to attain by means
of the policy he has chosen
- (2) emphasizes factors that limit rationality in decision making by
individuals and organizations
- 3 factors: limits of man’s capacity to process information,
constraints on attempts to obtain the info necessary for calculating
maximal gains, tendency to find course of action that will satisfy
most minimal goals (instead of actions with best consequences)
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Document Summary

Gro ps can be as fallible as h mans. Prone o lack of viligence and risk aking. Foc s on his s b le form of defec ive decision making/ fa l y leadership: d ring gro p delibera ions, leaders no delibera ely ry o ge he gro p o ell him wha he wan s o hear, b sincerely asks for hones opinions. S b le cons rain s reinforced by he leader preven s member from f lly exercising cri ical powers and openly expressing do b s when o hers have reached consens s. Posi ive feelings abo mee ing and carrying o asks of he gro p. Increase abili y o re ain members and increased par icipa ion by members in ac ivi ies. Affec ed by my hs and misconcep ions of o her members. Grea er power of conformi y and accep ance of goals and assignmen s.

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