SMG FE 323 Chapter Notes - Chapter ch.11 -12: Risk Premium, Market Portfolio, Dividend Yield

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Chapter 11: risk and return from capital markets. 11. 1 a first look at risk and return. 11. 2 historical risks and returns of stocks: computing historical returns: realized returns for an individual investment and a portfolio the total return that occurs over a particular time period. Individual investment realized return-- total return = total dividend yield and the capital gain. Assume that all dividends are immediately reinvested and used to purchase additional shares of the same stock or security: r(annual) + 1 = (1+r1)(1+r2)(1+r3)(1+r4) annual realized return. Average annual returns avg. of realized returns for each year. Standard deviation indicates tendency of historical returns to be different from average and how far from average they tend to be. 95% prediction interval runs from [the average 2 x standard deviation] to [ to the average + 2 * standard devation) 11. 3 the historical tradeoff between risk and return. The return of large portfolios returns compensate for the risk they are taking.

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