ECON 209 Lecture Notes - Lecture 30: Output Gap, Demand Shock, Shortage
Document Summary
Inflation: rise in average level of all prices, usually expressed as annual % change in. Y = y*: nairu (not 0) - u* natural rate of unemployment, frictional & structural unemployment. Expect specific inflation rate pressure for money wages to rise by that rate. Increase wages & other factor prices unit costs increase as shifts up. Wage changes (by output gap & inflation expectations) determines effect on as curve. Constant level of inflation & monetary policy: expect actual inflation rate to continue. Constant inflation requires both expectations of inflation (shifts as) & continuing expansion of money supply by cb (shifts ad) Both workers & employers expect 2% inflation in coming years, employers expect to increase nominal wages by 2%/year. Wages rise by 2% as shifts up by 2% rate. For actual inflation rate = 2%: ad/as intersection shift up at rate of 2% Ad needs shift up by 2% - by growth of money supply.