MGSC 372 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Log-Normal Distribution, Estimation Theory

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A discrete example mle for binomial distribution (cid:887) Likelihood function for three values of :{(cid:2869),(cid:2870),(cid:2871)} (cid:4666)(cid:4667)=((cid:2869))(cid:3117)(cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667) (cid:3117) ((cid:2870))(cid:3118)(cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667) (cid:3118) ((cid:2871))(cid:3119)(cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667)(cid:4666) (cid:3119)(cid:4667) (cid:4666)(cid:4667)=((cid:2869))((cid:2870))((cid:2871))(cid:4666)(cid:3117)+(cid:3118)+(cid:3119)(cid:4667) (cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667)(cid:4666) (cid:3117)(cid:4667)+(cid:4666) (cid:3118)(cid:4667)+(cid:4666) (cid:3119)(cid:4667) (cid:4666)(cid:4667)=((cid:2869))((cid:2870))((cid:2871))(cid:3117)+(cid:3118)+(cid:3119) (cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667)(cid:4666)(cid:2871) [(cid:3117)+(cid:3118)+(cid:3119)](cid:4667) ln(cid:4666)(cid:4667)=ln((cid:2869))((cid:2870))((cid:2871))+ln(cid:3117)+(cid:3118)+(cid:3119)+ln(cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667)(cid:4666)(cid:2871) [(cid:3117)+(cid:3118)+(cid:3119)](cid:4667) ln(cid:4666)(cid:4667)=ln((cid:2869))((cid:2870))((cid:2871))+(cid:4666)(cid:2869)+(cid:2870)+(cid:2871)(cid:4667)ln+(cid:4666)(cid:885) [(cid:2869)+(cid:2870)+(cid:2871)](cid:4667)ln(cid:4666)(cid:883) (cid:4667) Generalizing to the case of observations we get: A coin is tossed 10 times and the number of heads is recorded. The number of heads obtained in each of the 8 repetitions of the experiment is as follows: The probability of heads is close to 50% so the coin appears to be fair. An assembly line produces a fixed, but unknown, percentage of defective items. 100 items are selected and the number (%) of defective items items in each sample is recorded as follows: (cid:883)(cid:882) (cid:890) The mle for the percentage of defective items produced by the assembly line is given by: We conclude that =(cid:882). (cid:882)(cid:886)(cid:888) so approximately 4. 6% of items produced.

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