POLI 451 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: The Intercept, Regression Analysis, Euroscepticism
11 Mar 2014
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Document Summary
Voters reelect incumbents who have performed well, and oust those who have performed badly. People in countries with a opt-out from an eu policy domain attribute less responsibility to the eu in that domain than people in countries without an opt-out e. g. euro and the emu. Partisanship effect should be weak: unclear what party is actually in charge. All these institutions are actors in policy outcomes and by having supra- national affiliations, it is hard to establish a partisanship for the eu. Instead, level of support for eu as a perception bias. Regardless of partisanship, people who support the eu project are more likely to attribute resp. to the eu when conditions are improving and less likely when conditions are deteriorating. Cross-national survey of all 27 eu member states in 2009. Nationally representative sample of 1,000 respondents in each country. We must minimize the sum of squared residuals. The distance between the data and the best-fitting line.
