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Lecture 17

Lecture 17 - Feb.19th.pdf

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Political Science
POLI 451
Sven- Oliver Proksch

Policy Responsibility in the EU Hobolt and Tilley How do citizens assign responsibility across levels of govts in the EU? Electoral accountability Voters reelect incumbents who have performed well, and oust those who have performed badly But they may not always work Clarity of responsibility in a federal system like the EU? A perception bias of certain voters? Effects of Institutions Hypothesis 1a People in countries with a opt-out from an EU policy domain attribute less responsibility to the EU in that domain than people in countries without an opt-out e.g. Euro and the EMU Effect of group-serving biases Partisanship effect should be weak: unclear what party is actually in charge All these institutions are actors in policy outcomes and by having supra- national affiliations, it is hard to establish a partisanship for the EU Instead, level of support for EU as a perception bias Hypothesis 2 Regardless of partisanship, people who support the EU project are more likely to attribute resp. to the EU when conditions are improving and less likely when conditions are deteriorating Data, European election study Cross-national survey of all 27 EU member states in 2009 Nationally representative sample of 1,000 respondents in each country *see Fran's notes* Linear Regression How independent variable connects to dependent variable Correlation relationship and best-fitting lines We must m
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