POLI 244 Lecture Notes - Lecture 7: List Of States With Nuclear Weapons, Ali Khamenei, Iranian Revolution
Document Summary
First five countries to create nuclear programs were those who are the permanent five countries in the un security council. Often countries which develop nuclear programs are those embattled, peace surrounded countries have no need to invest so much. Edelman et al. argue that us red lines (signaling) would not deter: waltz argues it will create more stability. Getting nukes would embolden iran, they would no longer be afraid of. Us: this would diminish us power, arguing us must increase their power. Us power and influence would be diminished. Argue that increasing regional us military presence would boost leverage, deterrence. Iran could be tempted to hit israel first. An iranian bomb would lead to proliferation, arms racing. The middle east could become a multipolar nuclear region (israel, iran, Saudi arabia) very unstable a dangerous situation: number countries having the bomb- neo-realists find realist to be.