FIN 300 Lecture Notes - Lecture 3: Capital Intensity, Dividend Payout Ratio, Capital Structure
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Use the below information to answer the following question. |
Income Statement | |
For the Year | |
Sales | $42,700 |
Cost of goods sold | 29,250 |
Depreciation | 3,750 |
Earnings before interest and taxes | $ 9,700 |
Interest paid | 1,360 |
Taxable income | $ 8,340 |
Taxes | 2,840 |
Net income | $ 5,500 |
Dividends $1,925 |
Balance Sheet | |
End-of-Year | |
Cash | $1,320 |
Accounts receivable | 3,780 |
Inventory | 10,200 |
Total current assets | $15,300 |
Net fixed assets | 33,600 |
Total assets | $48,900 |
Accounts payable | $ 3,650 |
Long-term debt | 18,100 |
Common stock ($1 par value) | 15,000 |
Retained earnings | 12,150 |
Total Liab. & Equity | $48,900 |
The profit margin, the debt-equity ratio, and the dividend payout ratio for this firm are constant. Sales are expected to increase by $5,000 next year. What is the projected addition to retained earnings for next year? |
(ALL WORK MUST BE DONE ON EXCEL)
Build a financial model on the following template. Assume that the WACC is 20%. Also assume the debt and equity remain the same. The FCF long-term growth rate is the same as the sales growth rate. ( Copy the table into Excel.)
Sales growth | 10% | |||||
Current assets/sales | 15% | |||||
Current liabilities/Sales | 8% | |||||
Net fixed assets/sales | 77% | |||||
cost of goods sold/sales | 50% | |||||
depreciation rate | 10% | |||||
interest rate on debt | 10% | |||||
interest paid on cash and marketable securities | 8% | |||||
tax rate | 40% | |||||
dividend payout ratio | 40% | |||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
income statement | ||||||
sales | 1000 | |||||
cost of goods sold | 500 | |||||
interest payment on debt | 32 | |||||
interest earned on cash and marketable securities | 6 | |||||
depreciation | 100 | |||||
profits before tax | 374 | |||||
taxes | 150 | |||||
profits after tax | 225 | |||||
dividends | 90 | |||||
retained earnings | 135 | |||||
Balance sheet | ||||||
cash and marketable securities | 80 | |||||
current assets | 150 | |||||
fixed assets | ||||||
At cost | 1070 | |||||
depreciation | 300 | |||||
Net fixed assets | 770 | |||||
total assets | 1000 | |||||
current liabilities | 80 | |||||
debt | 320 | |||||
stock | 450 | |||||
accumulated retained earnings | 150 | |||||
total liabilities + Equity | 1000 |
a. Value the companyâs equity. (SHOW YOUR WORK ON EXCEL)
b. The model in Part A includes cost of goods sold but not selling, general, and administrative (SG & A) expenses. Suppose that the firm has $200 of these expenses each year, irrespective of the level of sales. Change the model to accommodate this new assumption. Show the resulting income statements, balance sheets, the free cash flows (FCF), and the valuation. (SHOW YOUR WORK ON EXCEL)
c. Build a data table in which you show the sensitivity of the equity value to the level of SG & A. Let SG & A vary from $0 per year to $600 per year. (SHOW YOUR WORK ON EXCEL)
d. Back to Part A. Suppose that the fixed assets at cost follow the following step function:
Incorporate this function into the model and solve for the market value of equity. (SHOW YOUR WORK ON EXCEL)
e. Back to Part A again. Make two changes in the model: 1). Let debt be the plug and keep cash constant at its year-0 level. 2). Suppose that the firm has 1,000 shares and that it decides to pay, in year 1, a dividend per share of $0.15. In addition, suppose that it wants this dividend per share to growth in subsequent years by 12% per year. Incorporate these changes into the pro forma model and solve this model to get the market value of equity per share. (SHOW YOUR WORK ON EXCEL)
Please show formulas and calculations and not just results and numbers, and explain rationale for answers.
You have the following information for Small Inc. for the current year (Y0). Assume there are 50M shares outstanding.
Income Statement (M$) | Y0 | Y1 |
Sales | 1400 | |
Cost of Goods Sold | 700 | |
SG&A | 200 | |
Depreciation | 100 | |
Earnings Before Interest & Tax (EBIT) | 400 | |
Interest Expense | 40 | |
Earnings Before Tax | 360 | |
Taxes (40%) | 144 | |
Net Income | 216 | |
Dividends | 100 |
Balance Sheet (M$) | Y0 | Y1 |
Cash | 100 | |
Accounts Receivable | 300 | |
Inventories | 500 | |
Current Assets | 900 | |
Gross PPE | 400 | |
Accumulated Depn | 300 | |
Net Fixed Assets | 100 | |
TOTAL ASSETS | 1,000 | |
Accruals | 25 | |
Accounts Payable | 150 | |
Notes Payable | 75 | |
Current Liabilities | 250 | |
Long Term Debt | 350 | |
Common Stock | 100 | |
Retained Earnings | 300 | |
Total Liability & Equity | 1,000 |
1. Forecast the income statement and balance sheet for Y1. Assume: Sales and accounts receivable grow by 25%; cost of goods sold, inventory and accounts payable grow 20%; and SG&A grows 10%. Interest expense will fall to 25M. The following accounts will not change (same dollar amount): depreciation expense, dividends, cash, accruals, notes payable, long-term debt, common stock. The firm will need 150M more in gross PPE. Use the cash account to balance the balance sheet.
2. Estimate the stock price for Small Inc. using discounted cash flows. Assume Small Inc. grows at 5% after year 1, the cost of capital is 15% and cash is a non-operating asset.You will need the free cash flow for year 1 and the horizon value as part of the solution.
3. Large Inc. has a forward P-E multiple of 4.5x.Use this to estimate the stock price for Small Inc..