ECN 600 Lecture Notes - Lecture 9: Real Business-Cycle Theory, Business Cycle, Real Wages

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13 business cycle models with flexible prices and wages. Topics: real business cycle model, keynesian coordination failure model, business cycle theories and the 2008-2009 recession. Data versus predictions of the real business cycle model with productivity shocks. Strategic complementarities imply that the aggregate production function has increasing returns to scale, and the labour demand function can be upward sloping. In an example, the model fits the data as well as the real business cycle model: gdp fluctuates in the model because of self-fulfilling waves of optimism and pessimism. Business cycle theories and the 2008-2009 recession: real business cycle model and coordination failure model fit average business cycle behaviour well, but the fit to the 2008-2009 recession is not so good. Not much decline in average labour productivity. Obvious importance of financial factors, which play no role in either model. Topics: construction of the new keynesian sticky price model extending the monetary intertemporal.

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