PSY 102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 3: Hindsight Bias, Representativeness Heuristic, Frontal Lobe
4 Apr 2016
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Document Summary
Autism was thought to be a motor disorder. The long-sought-after bridge between the hopelessly isolated world of children with autism and the adult world of social interaction. Soon after there were allegations of sexual abuse against parents, despite no physical evidence. Used to treat schizophrenia and other mental disorders. Severed the fibres connecting the frontal lobe thalamus. They reduce the cognitive energy required to solve problems. The trouble is when they oversimplify reality. Judging the probability of an event by its superficial similarity to a prototype. How common a behavior or characteristic is in the population. Estimate the likelihood of an occurrence based on how easily it comes to our minds. Systematic errors in thinking that can lead to confidence in false conclusions. Hindsight bias: i knew it all along . Overconfidence: tendency to overestimate our ability to make correct predictions. Test specific hypotheses derived from broader theories. Theories are never proven , but hypotheses can be confirmed or disconfirmed.
