PHIL 105 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Statistical Syllogism, Interest Rate, Baltimore Stars
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5 Feb 2015
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The market will rise because interest rate will fall. [all most cuts in interest rate yield market rises ] Given the premises, it probalifies the conclusion , Threatened by any info that is provided after. The truth of the premises leads to the truth of. It is deductive if it is impossible to have true premises but false conclusion. Monotonic : no further info can change a mind, Cannot adopt a belief and reject its consequences. Invalid = conclusion goes beyond premises (only applies to deductive ) Take a set of results and project them to the future. Ex: the sun will appear in the east for the past several centuries. Ex: find a relic and predict what happened in the past. Ex: 95% of students in the class are from surrey thus 95% of all sfu students comes from surrey. Ex: 95% of this class is from surrey, thus picked at random, the person is from surrey.