PSYC 1020H Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Confirmation Bias, Sampling Bias, Falsifiability

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Should we rely on our intuition? (cid:862)m(cid:455) i(cid:374)(cid:374)er di(cid:374)g. it speaks to (cid:373)e. it feels right or it does(cid:374)"t feel right. (cid:863) Louise hay- by changing your mindset you can cure your cancer. Thinking is all we need to be healthier and happier. Wh(cid:455) is our (cid:862)i(cid:374)(cid:374)er di(cid:374)g(cid:863) ofte(cid:374) (cid:449)ro(cid:374)g? (cid:862)(cid:373)i(cid:374)d (cid:271)ugs(cid:863) = (cid:272)o(cid:373)(cid:373)o(cid:374) thi(cid:374)ki(cid:374)g errors: hindsight bias, coincidence error, confirmation bias, overconfidence. E(cid:454)a(cid:373)ple: it"s o(cid:448)er(cid:272)ast i think it will rain, bring an umbrella. It does rain--> (cid:862)i so totall(cid:455) (cid:272)alled it(cid:863) Coincidence error: mistakenly perceive order in random events, assume there is meaning in a coincidence, assume there is a connection between events, people, or behaviours when none exists. Bert: (cid:862)wh(cid:455) is that (cid:271)a(cid:374)a(cid:374)a still i(cid:374) (cid:455)ou ear? (cid:863) Er(cid:374)ie: (cid:862)liste(cid:374), bert, i use this (cid:271)a(cid:374)a(cid:374)a to keep alligators a(cid:449)a(cid:455). (cid:863) Er(cid:374)ie, there are (cid:374)o alligators o(cid:374) esa(cid:373)e treet(cid:863) Scientific method: procedures for testing theories, answering questions. Replicable (can be objectively verified: based on collection of evidence/data (i. e. , empirical)

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