PSYC 102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Standard Deviation, Smart People, Statistical Inference
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PSYC 102 Full Course Notes
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Intuition = an effortless, immediate, automatic feeling or thought, as contrasted with explicit, conscious reasoning. Hindsight bias = the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it. (i-knew-it-all-along phenomenon). Perceiving order in random events, overconfidence, and hindsight bias often lead us to overestimate our intuition. Confirmation bias = we attend to what we agree with and ignore what we don"t. We can"t trust our own personal experience. We can"t trust the opinions of our friends, relatives, even the loved ones. We can"t trust opinions of smart people. Humble, requires humility an awareness of our own vulnerability to error and an openness to. Hypothesis = a testable prediction, often implied by a theory. Operational definition = the method used to define/measure a variable in a study. Construct definition = what is being measured. Replication = same finding with different participants in different situation. Inaccurate beliefs are gradually discredited and gradually replaced by more accurate beliefs.
