PHLA10H3 Lecture 8: Evolutionism and Creationism
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The prize is in the silver casket: the gold statement is false, the bronze one tells the truth, the silver statement , the second is gold. Recall: the strength of an abductive argument depends on the explanatory power of the hypothesis compared to its rivals, plus the overall plausibility of the hypothesis. Example: aids testing: suppose someone (p), with absolutely zero known risk factors tests positively for. Suppose the test is 99% reliable (chances are 99% that if you have aids you test positive: two hypotheses. About 1 in 100: this is the base rate fallacy. The hypotheses (h1) of design beats the hypothesis (h2) of random creation of organisms. There is h3: organisms evolved by natural selection. There are two hypotheses to the theory of evolution that darwin developed: the tree of. One tree of life means all living creatures are descended from one original organism . Modification by natural selection involves some extra hypotheses:
