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ARH312Y1 (19)
E.Banning (16)
Lecture

Probability, Evaluation Hypotheses and Modeling

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Department
Archaeology
Course
ARH312Y1
Professor
E.Banning
Semester
Fall

Description
Tuesday November 1511Archaeological LaboratoriesT BanningProbability Evaluation Hypotheses and ModelingUncertaintyUncertainty applies to measurements hypotheses and explanationsWe express uncertainties with probabilitiesProbability TheoryProbabilities are like proportionsUsed to quantify uncertaintyUncertainty about WeatherGood example is the way the media reports weather forecastsWhat does 60 chance of rain meanWhen they analyze their data compare to past history of circumstances with known outcomeOut of 10 times 6 times it rained the next dayP 6What is the probability that oil will also go down in price by 3P6x3Probabilities add up to 10Addition RuleWhen outcomes are independent and mutually exclusive we can add
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