NATS 1840 Lecture 19: Lecture Notes (Mar 31)

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Model performance compared to data: growing discrepancy between gcm predictions and observed surface temperatures during past decade. Conclusions from simulations: they don"t produce some short-term or medium-term effects, they help us understand key processes, variables, and links in climate change, always improving, the real-time experiments will take time. Historical climate: how has climate changed in recent and distinct past, how have carbon dioxide concentrations and temperature, are changes observed today historically unusual/signi cant, the study of past climate. Friday, march 31, 2017: how can we determine co2 concentrations and temperatures from one million years ago, ice core long cylinders of pack ice obtained by drilling vertically down using a follow drill. Friday, march 31, 2017: deploy new technologies quickly, emphasize ef ciency and conservation. Canadian emissions: total emissions have grown, emissions per unit of production are down, emissions per capita are down signi cantly also.

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