PS 1100 Lecture Notes - Lecture 45: Walter Lippmann, Assisted Suicide

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Evidence shows that supreme court, (cid:272)o(cid:374)g(cid:396)ess, p(cid:396)eside(cid:374)t"s a(cid:272)tio(cid:374)s a(cid:396)e highl(cid:455) i(cid:374)flue(cid:374)(cid:272)ed (cid:271)(cid:455) pu(cid:271)li(cid:272) opi(cid:374)io(cid:374: aggregate opinion (sum of individual opinions) is stable, coherent, signal through the noise: book by nate silver. If you ask one person about policy, you get a lot of noise, but if you ask 1500 you start to see a signal/pattern: what is public opinion to heed(cid:863, v. o. Frame it as an increase in taxes for. Problem: no list of all americans over 18: ra(cid:374)do(cid:373) digit diali(cid:374)g: (cid:272)all (cid:396)a(cid:374)do(cid:373) (cid:374)u(cid:373)(cid:271)e(cid:396)s a(cid:374)d ask if the(cid:455)"(cid:396)e o(cid:448)e(cid:396) O(cid:373)e people sa(cid:455) i(cid:374)depe(cid:374)de(cid:374)t to seem more moderate, but if you ask them if they lean republican or democrat, a super majority will go one way or another. Pure independents are most uninformed, indecisive, answer polls most randomly: count up their answers, two fundamental premises of polls, answers accurately describe respondents characteristics.

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