PHILOS 8 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Conjunction Fallacy, Critical Thinking, Religious Skepticism
Document Summary
Critical thinking: the systematic evaluation or formulation of beliefs, or statements by rational standards. Humans are naturally very good at certain sorts of thinking and naturally very bad. Humans have a lot of difficulties inferring causation from correlation. Examples: linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and also participated in anti-nuclear demonstrations. B. linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement. Conjunction fallacy: two events with independent probability, it"s always more likely that the probability of event 1 and event 2 is higher than the conjunction of both events. The first step is being aware of the things that make you susceptible in your intuition. Believe in their own interest and ignoring all other evidence. Bad thing with respect to being rational. Most things do not depend on what we believe.
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