POLI 360 Lecture 4: Physcological Explanations We don't

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4 Nov 2021
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Behind idea decision maker is rational actor that make cost benefit decisions and calculations. Look at alternatives and pick the on that maximizes output (company) maximizes utility (consumer) Nation states maximize national interest, minimize cost, Leaders maximizes chances of maintaining goals at minimal cost. Decision making is affected by multiplicity of personal, psychological and cultural and political constraints. No single theory can explain decision making but these are proximate factors. Inaccurate inferences, miscalculations and misjudgments about reactions to policies. Misperception discrepancy between decision makers psychological environment and reality of world. Assumption policy is safe, but could be dangerous. States may overestimate hostility and may exaggerate the hostile intent of others. Military optimism chances of diplomacy is low. Case: ww1 , eve of war all european states had inaccurate anticpate and. With a proper assessment from european countries, ww1 probably wouldn"t have happened. Mental processes by which knowledge is apprehended or perceived. Perceived by the senses or grasped by intellect.

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