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CASE ONE

The study is conducted to investigate the association betweenchewing tobacco and oral leukoplakia (a precancerous lesion) amongcurrently active professional baseball players in the southeasternUnited States. A roster of all active players is obtained (n=500).All potential study subjects agree to participate. Each subject hasan interview regarding current use of chewing tobacco and has hismouth examined by a dentist. Of the 500 subjects, 125 subjects chewtobacco and 375 do not chew tobacco. Of the chewers, 25 haveevidence of oral leukoplakia. Of the non-chewers, 15 have evidenceof oral leukoplakia. All 500 players were followed for a period of5 years. Of those who had evidence of oral leukoplakia, 18 died ofsome type of oral cancer.

  1. Draw a 2 x 2 table demonstrating the relationship betweenchewing tobacco and oral leukoplakia. In drawing this table, putthe exposure variable on the columns and the health outcomevariable on the rows.
  2. Draw a second 2 x 2 table demonstrating the relationshipbetween chewing tobacco and oral leukoplakia, but this time, putthe exposure variable on the rows and the health outcome variableon the columns.
  3. Using the table drawn in part a, compute the prevalence ratioand the prevalence odds ratio of oral leukoplakia for chewerscompared to non-chewers. Are these two estimates close toone-another? Why are these prevalence measures and not incidencemeasures?
  4. Using the table drawn in part b, compute the prevalence ratioand the prevalence odds ratio of oral leukoplakia for chewerscompared to non-chewers. Are these estimates equal to theircorresponding estimates computed using the table drawn in part a?Explain.
  5. Ignoring the issue of statistical inference and the control ofother variables, what do these results say about the relationshipbetween chewing tobacco and the presence of oral leukoplakia?
  6. Calculate the case-fatality rate (actually, a risk) in thisstudy. Why is this a measure of risk?
  7. Based on the information provided, why can’t you evaluatewhether tobacco chewers have a higher case-fatality risk thannon-chewers?

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Beverley Smith
Beverley SmithLv2
28 Sep 2019

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