PSYC 102 Lecture Notes - Paul E. Meehl, Falsifiability, Richard Feynman
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PSYC 102 Full Course Notes
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Personal experience have severe limitations, difficult to trust. Given random data, we look for order and meaningful patterns: the order that we see is based on our experience or past history, might miss a pattern that is more meaningful, or a pattern others see. Tend to look for order sometimes where there is none. When one has a particular bias, we give away to certain information that we strongly agree with or strongly disagree with. People considered smart: wise, phds, published books, lecture in university etc. We don"t make conclusions in confidence based on a single study: must look at several studies, converging information, then we can determine a conclusion, studies must be reproduces. Often times even smart people will make decisions that are not rational, or found to work. We can"t trust our own personal experience. We can"t trust the opinions of others. We can"t trust the opinions of smart people.