ECON 3210 Chapter Notes -Marginal Distribution, Econometrics, X 2000

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X is a random variable because attendance is not known prior to the outdoor concert. Before the concert, attendance is uncertain because the weather is uncertain. (b) expected attendance is given by. E x (cid:32) (cid:166) x x f x ( ) 500 0. 2 1000 0. 6 2000 0. 2 1100 (cid:32) (cid:117) (cid:117) (cid:14) (cid:14) (cid:117) (cid:32) (c) E x (cid:32) (d) the variance of profit is given by. ) 2000 5 1100 2000 3500 (cid:16) (cid:32) (cid:117) (cid:16) (cid:32) var( ) var(5 (cid:32) E x (cid:32) (cid:166) x x f x (cid:32) (cid:16) 10 0. 18 0 0. 3 10 0. 52 3. 4 (cid:14) (cid:117) (cid:117) (cid:14) (cid:117) (cid:32) You should take the bet because the expected value of your winnings is positive. (c) The probability distribution of your winnings if you know she did not study is (cid:11) f x y (cid:32) (cid:12) It is given in the following table f x ( ,1) f (1) for x (cid:32) (cid:16)

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