POL101Y1 Lecture 9: Lecture 9 - The Rise of Great Powers
Document Summary
The rise of great powers: international relations theory, uncertain realities, and the rise of china. Generate theories to generalize and by doing so, create theories to predict. However, political science is not very good at making theoretical claims and predicting. For examples, did not predict the end of the cold war. Political science tries very hard to predict but are not very successful. Reason why: politics is very uncertain (great degree of uncertainty and the way states behave) In most cases democracies are allied with one another therefore fighting is curtailed. In most cases democracies share ideological affinity therefore tend not to fight one another. Argues that there is a pattern of that democracies don t fight other democracies. Democracies tend to be slow when passing policies. May be conflicts, but the empirical evidence suggests democracies don t fight one another. Small island of the southwest coast of china. China has between 800 1500 missiles pointed at taiwan.