FINE 482 Study Guide - Midterm Guide: Call Option, Basis Risk, Lectionary

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mauvebadger374

7 Dec 2017

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01/01/2015: a us food company buys kiwis from new zealand with the payment of 100,000. If the contract is initiated, on its 180th day, the bank will have to pay. It is used for commercial customers: the swap rate, the difference between forward and spot rates. If you"re expecting the peso to fall in value compared to the $ ($/peso), you could sell a futures contract, taking a short position: value at maturity (short positon) = notional principal x (spot futures) If the write wrote the option naked (without owning the currency), then the writer will need to buy the currency at spot and take the loss. At spot rates greater than the strike price, the option expires and the write keeps the premium: new zealand kiwi, key and kreiger, after crash of 1987, everyone wanted to exit the dollar.

Related Questions

Compute the expected return of a portfolio given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns:

Economic State Probability Return

Fast Growth 20.00% 30.00%

Slow Growth 50.00% 6.00%

Recession 30.00% -2.00%

Answer

		8.40%
		11.33%
		12.65%
		15.47%

Compute the standard deviation of a portfolio given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns:

Economic State Probability Return

Fast Growth 20.00% 30.00%

Slow Growth 50.00% 6.00%

Recession 30.00% -2.00%

Answer

1.28%

4.36%

7.82%

11.34%

Year-to-date, Company O had earned -2.10% return. During the same time period Company V earned 8.00% and Company M earned 6.25%. If you have a portfolio made up of 40.00% Company O, 30.00% Company V, and 30.00% Company M, what is the overall portfolio return?

Answer

5.778%

4.270%

6.871%

3.435%

Risk that CAN BE eliminated through proper diversification is called _____.

Answer

		market risk
		firm-specific risk
		systematic risk
		non-diversifiable risk

GIVEN: Spot Rate: 1 X = 1.02 Y
30 Day Forward Rate: 1 X = 1.15 Y
Your currency is "X" and you will be paying 345Y. You would ____ because _____.

Answer

		pay now; of the irrelevance of payment time
		pay now; it will take less "X"
		pay in 30 days; it will take less "X"

The amount of one currency needed to purchase one unit of another currency is the _____.

Answer

		derivative rate
		exchange rate
		backwardation rate
		over-the-counter rate

The price of an option is called a(n) _____.

Answer

		expiration cost
		holding cost
		premium
		proceeds

When a futures contract expires, the parties usually _____.

Answer

		have a party when losses are low
		take delivery of the contract asset
		do a cash settlement
		swap off liabilities.

When a forward contract expires, the parties will _____.

Answer

		have a party when losses are low
		deliver the contract asset
		do a cash settlement
		swap off liabilities.

Any asset whose value is derived from the value of some underlying asset is a(n) ____.

Answer

		derivative
		primary capital
		spot asset
		intermediary asset

Which of the following is not traded on an exchange?

Answer

		options
		futures
		forwards
		they are all exchange-traded

A system under which a country's exchange rates are tied to another currency by government policy is _____.

Answer

		floating exchange rates
		pegged exchange rates
		convertible exchange rates
		forward rates

One of the _______ for business with a floating exchange rate system is the _______ planning business activities in an international market.

Answer

		disadvantages; difficulty of
		advantages; easiness of
		irrelevant situations; normal
		none of the above

U.S. dollars deposited in foreign banks are called _____ and interest paid on these deposits is normally tied to _____.

Answer

		non-foreign deposits; FED funds rate
		indirect dollars; Discount Funds Rate
		Eurodollars; LIBOR
		none of the above

____ is a disadvantage of the gold standard.

Answer

		Excess currency slowing economic growth
		Excess inflation
		A non-variable beta
		Lack of currency to promote continued economic expansion

A monetary system in which paper money can be converted directly to gold is a(n) ___.

Answer

		dollar backed float
		gold standard
		currency float
		Americanized gold standard
		none of the above

Reason(s) for the Great Depression following the Great War include:

Answer

		trade protectionism
		isolationism
		nationalism
		all of the above
		none of the above

An agreement between the WW II allies in 1944 designed to prevent the problems leading to the Great Depression and WW II and to rebuild Asia and Europe was the _____.

Answer

		Armistice of 1945
		Bretton Woods Agreement
		Lend Lease Act for Asia and Europe
		none of the above

A derivative is used to ____ thereby _____.

Answer

		float; gaining excess currency for expansion
		peg currency; improving trade with a primary partner
		hedge; reducing/eliminating risk
		none of the above

Easier business planning is an advantage of the ______ system.

Answer

		mixed exchange rate
		floating exchange rate
		derivative exchange rate
		gold standard
		none of the above

____ is the chance that some unfavorable event will occur.

Answer

		Expected return
		Risk
		Coefficient of variation
		Correlation

raspberrycicada573

Compute the expected return of a portfolio given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns:

Economic State Probability Return

Fast Growth 20.00% 30.00%

Slow Growth 50.00% 6.00%

Recession 30.00% -2.00%

Answer

		8.40%
		11.33%
		12.65%
		15.47%

Compute the standard deviation of a portfolio given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns:

Economic State Probability Return

Fast Growth 20.00% 30.00%

Slow Growth 50.00% 6.00%

Recession 30.00% -2.00%

Answer

		1.28%
		4.36%
		7.82%
		11.34%

Year-to-date, Company O had earned -2.10% return. During the same time period Company V earned 8.00% and Company M earned 6.25%. If you have a portfolio made up of 40.00% Company O, 30.00% Company V, and 30.00% Company M, what is the overall portfolio return?

Answer

		5.778%
		4.270%
		6.871%
		3.435%

Risk that CAN BE eliminated through proper diversification is called _____.

Answer

		market risk
		firm-specific risk
		systematic risk
		non-diversifiable risk

GIVEN: Spot Rate: 1 X = 1.02 Y
30 Day Forward Rate: 1 X = 1.15 Y
Your currency is "X" and you will be paying 345Y. You would ____ because _____.

Answer

		pay now; of the irrelevance of payment time
		pay now; it will take less "X"
		pay in 30 days; it will take less "X"

The amount of one currency needed to purchase one unit of another currency is the _____.

Answer

		derivative rate
		exchange rate
		backwardation rate
		over-the-counter rate

The price of an option is called a(n) _____.

Answer

		expiration cost
		holding cost
		premium
		proceeds

When a futures contract expires, the parties usually _____.

Answer

		have a party when losses are low
		take delivery of the contract asset
		do a cash settlement
		swap off liabilities.

When a forward contract expires, the parties will _____.

Answer

		have a party when losses are low
		deliver the contract asset
		do a cash settlement
		swap off liabilities.

Any asset whose value is derived from the value of some underlying asset is a(n) ____.

Answer

		derivative
		primary capital
		spot asset
		intermediary asset

Which of the following is not traded on an exchange?

Answer

		options
		futures
		forwards
		they are all exchange-traded

A system under which a country's exchange rates are tied to another currency by government policy is _____.

Answer

		floating exchange rates
		pegged exchange rates
		convertible exchange rates
		forward rates

One of the _______ for business with a floating exchange rate system is the _______ planning business activities in an international market.

Answer

		disadvantages; difficulty of
		advantages; easiness of
		irrelevant situations; normal
		none of the above

U.S. dollars deposited in foreign banks are called _____ and interest paid on these deposits is normally tied to _____.

Answer

		non-foreign deposits; FED funds rate
		indirect dollars; Discount Funds Rate
		Eurodollars; LIBOR
		none of the above

____ is a disadvantage of the gold standard.

Answer

		Excess currency slowing economic growth
		Excess inflation
		A non-variable beta
		Lack of currency to promote continued economic expansion

A monetary system in which paper money can be converted directly to gold is a(n) ___.

Answer

		dollar backed float
		gold standard
		currency float
		Americanized gold standard
		none of the above

Reason(s) for the Great Depression following the Great War include:

Answer

		trade protectionism
		isolationism
		nationalism
		all of the above
		none of the above

An agreement between the WW II allies in 1944 designed to prevent the problems leading to the Great Depression and WW II and to rebuild Asia and Europe was the _____.

Answer

		Armistice of 1945
		Bretton Woods Agreement
		Lend Lease Act for Asia and Europe
		none of the above

A derivative is used to ____ thereby _____.

Answer

		float; gaining excess currency for expansion
		peg currency; improving trade with a primary partner
		hedge; reducing/eliminating risk
		none of the above

Easier business planning is an advantage of the ______ system.

Answer

		mixed exchange rate
		floating exchange rate
		derivative exchange rate
		gold standard
		none of the above

____ is the chance that some unfavorable event will occur.

Answer

		Expected return
		Risk
		Coefficient of variation
		Correlation

pucedolphin819

Please read the article and answer these questions. Thanks.

Article:

TESTING THE GLOBAL CENTRAL BANK SWAP NETWORK

In the last few weeks, the ECB has been drawing on its liquidity swap line with the Fed, first $308 million for a week, then $658 million for a week, and last week back down to $358 million. Whatâs that about?

Itâs not such a large amount. Bank of Japan borrowed more in the past, $810 million in March and $1528 million in January. But the question then repeats, what was that about?

Both of these drawings are part of the new set of central bank swap lines linking what I call the C6: the Fed, ECB, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of Canada. On October 31, 2013these lines were made permanent and unlimited; contract details may be found here. Ever since then I have had a slide in my powerpoints saying âForget the G7, Watch the C6.â

So now weâre watching. What are we seeing?

Central bank swaps are in some ways quite similar to a standard commercial FX swap, but the differences are important and significant.

A standard swap involves exchange of two currencies today at the spot exchange rate prevailing today, plus a promise to reverse the transaction at maturity using the forward exchange rate prevailing today. Suppose that forward rate is calculated using covered interest parity as

F = S(1+r)/(1+r*)

where r and r* are respectively the dollar and foreign interest rate for a given term T, s is the spot exchange rate and f is the forward exchange rate for date T.

In this case, the exposure of the standard swap contract is identical to a swap of IOUs between the contracting parties at the prevailing interest rates in their respective currencies. One party borrows dollars at rate r and the other party borrows euros at the rate r*.

Central bank swaps are different. First, the forward rate in the contract is usually exactly the same as the current spot exchange rate. This means that central banks are never in the position of realizing profits or losses from the swap (although of course there will be implicit profits and losses), that come from deviation between the agreed forward rate and the spot rate at expiry.

Second, the interest rate on the contract is negotiated rather than calculated from market prices. But, given the choice of forward rate, the analogous commercial contract would call for payment of the interest differential, so anything different from that is significant. Significantly, the documentation of the current C6 swap line leaves open the question of who pays interest to who, and how much.

Usual practice has been for the party who draws on the line to pay interest on the line at some penalty rate. Thus the May 9, 2010 swap agreement between the Fed and ECB called for the ECB to pay the USD Overnight Index Swap Rate plus 100 basis points on its dollar borrowing, and the Fed to pay nothing on its euro borrowing. In effect, the ECB was simply borrowing dollars at the discount window, like any other bank, but with its own monetary liability serving as collateral instead of some financial asset.

This kind of arrangement is still in effect a swap of IOUs but at a price that is away from the market. Central bank swap lines thus in effect operate as a kind of outside spread providing bounds within which normal commercial dealing takes place. So long as prices stay at or near CIP, private agents prefer to do business directly with each other. But when CIP comes under pressure, because of one-sided liquidity flows, the central bank moves from backstop to market-maker and the outside price becomes the market price.

The ECB is borrowing dollars from the Fed and lending them on to banks in Europe who have dollar liquidity needs. Here is the tender documentation. Presumably it is doing this for banks who are unable, for whatever reason, to access dollar funding in the open market, or only at a premium that is higher than the ECB charges.

During the financial crisis, dollar funding needs like this got met by central bank liquidity swaps that rose almost to $600 billion, raising questions in Congress. Now, in normal times, smaller sums are becoming a routine way of handling the normal stresses and strains of world funding flows.

For lack of a world central bank, we have a network of central bank liquidity swaps.

(Council on Foreign Relations has a fun interactive app that shows the rest of the emerging swap network as well.)

Questions:

2. Forward rates in standard swaps are set relative to spot rates to eliminate arbitrage opportunities. Using a numerical example, demonstrate that an arbitrage opportunity would exist if a forward exchange rate quote differed from the formula given in Mehrlingâs article.

3. How do swap lines between central banks differ from standard foreign exchange swap contracts? How are forward rates set? How are interest rates determined?

4. Why would a commercial bank borrow foreign currency from its own central bank, rather than using a foreign exchange swap for the purpose?

FINE 482 Study Guide - Midterm Guide: Call Option, Basis Risk, Lectionary

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