POLI 227 Final: Week 5 Article Notes:Lionel Beehner, “The Effects of ‘Youth Bulge’ on Civil Conflicts,” andJustin Yifu Lin, “Youth Bulge: A Demographic Dividend or a Demographic Bomb in Developing Countries?,”
27 Jul 2016
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Document Summary
Population action international(pai)- a washington based private advocacy group: correlation between countries prone to civil conflicts and those with young populations- youth bulge - destabilize. Youth bulge theory: rapidly growing youth=unemployment and disaffected youths who are more likely to join rebel or terrorist groups-countries with weak political institutions are more vulnerable to the violence and social unrest. Gary fuller and jack a. goldstone: demographic transitions/ moving from high to low fertility and mortality rates in developing regions- vulnerable to civil conflict. Increases likelihood of youth advancing economically by extralegal means. The youth has fewer responsibilities= more likely to take up arms. 1970-1999: 80% of civil conflicts in countries where 60% of pop. 67 countries with youth bulge- 60 have social unrest and violence corruption, ethno-religious tensions, poverty and poor political institutions are other factors. Sub-saharan africa, southern asia, the middle east, and the pacific islands.
