PHIL 105 Chapter 6: Phil-XX1 - Chapter 6 (Textbook + Lectures)
7 Jan 2014
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Odds: the difference in favour of one side and against the other. An outcome with probability of , the odds are 3 to 1 against winning larger payoff. An outcome with probability of , the odds are 1 to 3 against winning smaller payoff. Statistically significant: the kind of sample you would expect less than x% of the time. Relative frequency: how often events of a certain type occur. Probability assignments are always conditional on the assumed truth of some such information. Coin toss = heads conditional on fair coin. The value n in a sentence of the form. Pr(h|e) = 1 must be a single real number between 0 and 1, inclusive. If e is true, then h must be true. example: pr(mrs. jones is married | mrs. jones has a spouse) = 1. Pr(five aces are drawn | five cards re drawn from a standard deck, without replacing the cards) = 0.
