PSY 1101 Chapter Notes - Chapter 1: Scale-Invariant Feature Transform, Rais, Random Assignment

• School: University of Ottawa
• Department: Psychology
• Course: PSY 1101
• Professor: Najwa Haddad

Document Summary

The naked intellect is an extraordinary inaccurate instrument. " madeleine l"engle (1972) Hindsight bias: the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it; the i-knew-it-all-along-phenomenon. When both a supposed finding and its opposite seem like common sense, there is a problem. These problems show why we need psychological research. Common sense is not usually wrong it is right, but only after the fact. We were all wise after the fact, presuming that we could have foreseen what happened. C. s describes what has happened better than what will happen. Everyday thinking is limited by after-the-fact common sense and overconfidence. We may think we are right, but we are actually wrong. Studies show that on average experts" predictions are only right < 40% of the time. Hindsight bias and overconfidence lead us to overestimate our intuition. But scientific inquiry can help us sift reality from illusions. Science is lead by curiosity passion to explore and understand.