ECN 506 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Real Interest Rate, Potential Output, Output Gap

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Good economic conditions favor re-election of incumbents, and economic problems such as high inflation and high unemployment contribute to their defeat. Business cycle- is the short-run ( year-to-year) fluctuations in an economy"s output and unemployment. Central bank actions affect spending which determines output and changes in inflation. An economy"s output is the level of real gross domestic product ( real gdp) Unemployment rate ( u)- is the percentage of the labor force without jobs. The business cycle is the short-run movements of real gdp and u around their normal levels. Potential output ( y*)- is the normal or average level of output, as determined by resources and technology. Potential output is the amount that can be produced with normal, not maximum, utilization of resources. Natural rate of unemployment ( u*)- is the normal or average rate of unemployment. Unemployment is at the natural rate when output equals potential output, and workers are working at normal intensity.

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