PHI 1101 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: Slot Machine, Ear Pain
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PHI 1101 Full Course Notes
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Examples: this slot machine hasn"t paid off for over two hours. It"s bound to win soon: the ottawa senators have been close to winning the. So next year is sure to be their turn: in the last fifty years san francisco has not had a major hurricane. So, a hurricane is due soon: i have been playing the lottery for all these years, and. So, after all those losses i am due for a win. The main idea: this came before that, so this was the cause of that. A post hoc is a fallacy with the following form: Obviously not a valid pattern of reasoning, but often enough to fool us. Examples: ever since politician x came to office, the economy has been performing badly. It must be his bad policies that are responsible for the poor economic performance.