ECO342H1 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Capital Account, Real Wages, Human Capital

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ECO342 – Lecture 5
05 Catch-up:
- 3 Different explanations of rapid European growth: Convergence, exogenous growth models
and growth accounting
- Convergence is old argument that says factor prices should converge when we lift all barriers to
mobility, correcting for exchange rates
- Solow growth model is the standard exogenous growth model; Europe had to catch-up to their
long-run growth rate of 2% as per the model
- Growth accounting is just an empirical dissection of what causes growth
Convergence:
- Prices should converge to equality across the world given no trade barriers, adjusted for
exchange rates
- If there are “excess” wages in one country versus another, migration will result in increase of
labor in that country and wages will equilibrate
- real wages will converge if there is international mobility of labor
- International mobility of capital can also affect wages; movement of capital from one to
another causes wages to rise in destination country, fall in original country
- Williamson argues that convergence occurred in the USA when immigrants came from Europe;
it depressed wages in USA (increased inequality) but lowered inequality in Europe
- Mass migration would explain 70% of real wage convergence in the late 19th century
- De-globalization followed from 1913-1945: more protectionist tariffs and less immigration
Growth Accounting:
- Maddison applies growth accounting after the war
- Y = AKaL1-a to find the components of production, A is TFP, K is Capital, L is Labour
- He sets on a weight 0.3 for capital
- He finds that productivity growth moves from relatively low-productivity agriculture to
manufacturing that is relatively high-productivity; important for the Golden Age’s growth
- Structural change in the economy is important for growth accounting
- Important factor: catch-up bonus of vast natural resources, educated population, high
investment rate of USA from 1890 to 1980
- Decrease in tariffs caused an increase in economies of scale by 20%
Endogenous Growth Theory: Solow Model
- uses the Cobb-Douglas function to model income as a function of capital and labour with the
total factor of productivity (A)
- exponents adding to 1 mean a constant return to scale
Mankiw:
- assume that rate of tech change, depreciation and growth of human capital is constant
- Mankiw et al input human capital into the Solow model to address weakness in the original
Solow model
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Document Summary

3 different explanations of rapid european growth: convergence, exogenous growth models and growth accounting. Convergence is old argument that says factor prices should converge when we lift all barriers to mobility, correcting for exchange rates. Solow growth model is the standard exogenous growth model; europe had to catch-up to their long-run growth rate of 2% as per the model. Growth accounting is just an empirical dissection of what causes growth. Prices should converge to equality across the world given no trade barriers, adjusted for exchange rates. If there are excess wages in one country versus another, migration will result in increase of labor in that country and wages will equilibrate. Real wages will converge if there is international mobility of labor. International mobility of capital can also affect wages; movement of capital from one to another causes wages to rise in destination country, fall in original country.

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