ES101 Lecture Notes - Wind Turbine, Nitrogen Cycle, Nitrogen Fixation
Document Summary
According to western europeans swans can only be white (scientific swans) This is because all swans previously observed by europeans were white: when australia was discovered by europeans, and in australia there are black swans. Unexpected and improbable things that happen in the world. If we can see it we believe it to be true. Have to be prepared for the information that is unpredictable. Nassim nicholas taleb"s argues that people are easily fooled by what they observe. Systems are much more complex than we can fathom, so in addition to trying to make predictions, we must be prepared to deal with the unpredictable. If you put yourself in the mind of the turkey, they look at us as amazing. Giving them survival; similar to us going to an all-inclusive resort. A black swan moment; if they can only use what they can observe, and then suddenly see that the world is not what it sees.