PHL246H1 Study Guide - Nelson Goodman

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The new riddle of induction by nelson goodman. Confirmation depends on more than just syntactical form. The above implies that semantics matter when confirmation is at issue. Only law-like statements can receive confirmation from instances (metal conducts electricity, e. g. ); accidental statements are not. So the riddle kind of looks like this: up until time t, all fs have been gs, but now a new predicate is introduced, so all fs are now hs. Suppose that h has the properties of g as well. Suppose that all emeralds examined before t are green. Up until t, every instance confirms the hypothesis that all emeralds are green. Now imagine the predicate grue", which covers all things covered before t just in case they are green but also other things that happen to be blue (or if you want, black ravens with exactly 42 feathers) Then at t we will have statements saying that things are green, but also grue.

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